Thank you for voting, but we’ll take it from here

Record turnout across the country in the Democratic primaries, with the majority of the popular vote going to Obama.  But, curb your enthusiasm, delegates are what matter here – and Clinton and Obama are essentially even (1,446 and 1,535 respectively including most of yesterday’s delegates; Obama needs 489 to win, Clinton 578 ; 256 SuperDelegates remain undeclared out of 712). 

For you glutonous politcal junkies, read Geraldine Ferraro’s editorial on why the Democratic primary system is the way it is.  For even more arcane analysis read Eric Black’s article in MinnPost about the brokered 1924 Democratic convention that went 16 days and 103 ballots.

Here’s a great summary of yesterday’s results from DCW:

State Delegates
Left
% Vote In % Clinton %Obama Delegates Clinton Delegates Obama
Vermont 0 86% 38% 60% 6 9
Ohio 3 99% 54% 44% 74 64
Rhode Island 0 98% 58% 40% 13 8
Texas-Primary 0 98% 51% 48% 64 62
Texas-Caucus 45 36% 48% 52% 14 8
Tuesday Total 48   171 151
Previously Pledged Delegates (AP)
  1035 1187
Total Pledged Delegates
  1206 1338
Superdelegate Endorsements   240 197
Total
Delegates
  1446 1535
Delegates Still Needed to Win Nomination   578 489

Source for Vote Percentage is CNN. Source for Delegates is CBS and AP. Source for Superdelegates is DCW

Remember 2000!

As if the Democratic primary weren’t interesting enough, could the Democratic nominee win a popular vote landslide but lose the Electoral college?  As James Boyce points out, it is a distinct possiblity.

Electoral College in 2000:

electoral-college-2000.jpg

Electoral College 2004:

electoral-college-2004.jpg

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1 Response to “Thank you for voting, but we’ll take it from here”


  1. 1 bobbyjones March 11, 2008 at 9:54 am

    In “Democratic Deadlock: Don’t Blame Proportional Delegate Allocation Or Superdelegates” X Curmudgeon points out that even if we had a winner-take-all primary without superdelegates, the delegate count we be about the same.

    http://xcurmudgeon.blogspot.com/2008/02/democratic-deadlock-dont-blame.html

    Anyway you look at it, it is just a close race.


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