A week later, we still don’t know who the 2nd Senator from Minnesota will be. The margin between Coleman and Franken has shrunk over the last week to 221 or .0001% (there were 2,833,089 votes cast in the Senate race).
538.com has some excellent analysis on the probability of who is more likely to win in a recount. It turns out that if 51.25% of uncounted votes (25,000 or 0.9%) turn out to be votes for Franken, he has a 98.8% chance of ultimately winning.
Also, more details have emerged regarding Coleman’s friend and supporter Nasser Kazeminy improperly channeling $75,000 to Coleman in 2007 through Coleman’s wife’s employer.
Funny story: a friend of mine got a call from the Franken campaign. They asked “are you going to vote for A-one Franken?” Apparently, the L looked like a 1. Ha! Good on a steak, but for Senate? Moral of the story: when you’re paying someone to call potential voters, you should make sure the people calling can read.
0 Responses to “Franken or Coleman? Odds Favor A1.”